On Wed, 30 May 2001 16:09:43 EDT, Betty
<betty(_at_)wheelweb(_dot_)zzn(_dot_)com> said:
Those 100 people mail out 5,000 e-mails each for a total of 500,000 e-mails.
The 0.2% response to that is 1000 orders for Report # 3.
Those 1000 people send out 5,000 e-mails each for a total of 5 million
e-mails
sent out. The 0.2% response to that is 10,000 orders for Report # 4.
Those 10,000 people send out 5,000 e-mails each for a total of 50,000,000
(50 million) e-mails. The 0.2% response to that is 100,000 orders for Report
# 5 THAT'S 100,000 ORDERS TIMES $5 EACH=$500,000.00 (half million).
Your total income in this example is: 1..... $50 + 2..... $500 + 3.....
$5,000 + 4
.... $50,000 + 5..... $500,000 ........ Grand Total=$555,550.00
NUMBERS DO NOT LIE. GET A PENCIL & PAPER AND FIGUREOUT
THE WORST POSSIBLE RESPONSES AND NO MATTER HOW YOU
CALCULATE IT, YOU WILL STILL MAKE A LOT OF MONEY !
OK.. Do I calculate return using an exponential curve or the S-shaped
logistics curve? It seems that the former is only appropriate if we
assume that people will reply to duplicate postings (since the 10,000
people will certainly NOT choose non-overlapping lists of people).
Of course, the average net.moron will take the fact that he's gotten
4 or 5 copies as proof that it works, not as proof that it can't work.
Also, doing the math for report #6 is.. umm.. painful ;)
/Valdis (who had to find *some* way to put an engineering spin on it)