Austin Schutz wrote:
On Wed, Mar 29, 2006 at 01:00:44AM +0200, Iljitsch van Beijnum wrote:
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
2.7 1.2 1.6 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.9 2.4 3.4 4.5
(The numbers represent the number of addresses used up in that year
as a percentage of the 3.7 billion total usable IPv4 addresses.)
Those years where the growth was smaller than the year before never
happened twice or more in a row.
This basically means that unless things take a radical turn, the long-
term trend is accelerating growth so that remaining 40% will be gone
in less than 9 years. Probably something like 7, as Geoff Huston
predicts.
This is much less time than I have seen in previous reports. If
this is accurate and consistent there is a greater problem than I had
previously thought.
If that is indeed the case then the "enhanced nat" road for ipv6
begins to make much more sense, even in the nearer term.
Austin
I am afraid the problem is even bigger.
I have seen again and again that cable providers are giving out
ip-addresses in the 10.0.0.0/8 area to save ip address space.
Not to mention wireless hotspots. The hotspots I have been playing
with own only a single one ip-address.
You notice something is awfully wrong, when your VoIP phone is not
working but your neighbar keeps telling you, his skype does.
--
Peter and Karin Dambier
The Public-Root Consortium
Graeffstrasse 14
D-64646 Heppenheim
+49(6252)671-788 (Telekom)
+49(179)108-3978 (O2 Genion)
+49(6252)750-308 (VoIP: sipgate.de)
mail: peter(_at_)peter-dambier(_dot_)de
mail: peter(_at_)echnaton(_dot_)serveftp(_dot_)com
http://iason.site.voila.fr/
https://sourceforge.net/projects/iason/
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