ietf
[Top] [All Lists]

Re: IPv6 Adoption Curve (was Re: Last Call: RFC 6346 successful: moving to Proposed Standard)

2014-12-04 02:47:36

On 04/12/2014 05:53, Dave Crocker wrote:
But just for grins, let's take Fred's 2007 date for V6, although I think
it far later than reasonable.  That means that in 7 years of serious
promotion, we have achieved only 5% penetration.

That's indeed pretty poor performance for a "new" product.

I am not particularly bothered with IPv4 depreciation. I am not
particularly worried that it has taken so much time for IPv6 use to
reach 5% either, when it comes to the statistics themselves. Indeed I am
comforted that by slowly ramping up, any remaining issues with IPv6 are
being worked out in real networks and so far we haven't hit total collapse.

What I am nervous about on the other hand, is that the lack of IPv6
adoption is making the alternative growth scenarios using Carrier Grade
NAT ever more attractive for some ISPs. CGN breaks the key end to end
principle that we have on the Internet and many mobile networks are
using CGN. Some non-mobile TelCos are now saying "hey we do not need to
roll out IPv6 - just look how happy customers are in using their mobile
networks with CGN!"

Kind regards,

Olivier

<Prev in Thread] Current Thread [Next in Thread>