Stephen Sprunk wrote:
I predict things will continue roughly as they are now, and
when the IPv4 space is approaching true exhaustion the prices
of PI and PA space will rise so much that it will exceed the
cost of converting to IPv6. Then IPv6 will take off, and not
I agree, and will take some time as rising prices will inevitably push
everyone to tighten their NAT setup, which will free a bunch of
addresses and push the date into the future even more.
The trouble is that people that would need IPv6 the most are the ones
that can't offer it nor expensive IPv4, so we might end up with a divide
between the haves and the have-nots.
Sadly, I don't think that telling Joe Redneck that if he does not
migrate to IPv6 now someone in a middle-east or developing country will
have to NAT later is going to help much.
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