David Kessens <david(_dot_)kessens(_at_)nsn(_dot_)com> wrote:
On Wed, Sep 16, 2009 at 11:36:53AM -0400, IETF Member Dave Aronson wrote:
...
I'd be willing to bet that the number of IPv4
installations is *growing* per year, not shrinking, and that that
trend will continue for at least the next several years, barring any
highly unusual events.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Like running out of easily available/cheap IPv4 address space ?
Yes, I'd say that would be highly unsual.
It was predicted long ago. Steps were taken that had far more
immediate effect than the effort to develop and deploy IPv6. The
crisis has been averted, at least temporarily. I don't think the
problem will be back up to anywhere near crisis-level any time in "the
next several years".
Ten years out, who knows? Maybe.
However, even then, that will affect almost exclusively devices with
*public* IP addresses. The gazillions of devices behind NATs may also
need to speak IPv6 when connecting to the outside world, but will have
little to no need to give up IPv4. Neither will those on completely
private networks.
-Dave
--
Dave Aronson, software engineer or trainer for hire.
Looking for job (or contract) in Washington DC area.
See http://davearonson.com/ for resume & other info.
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