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RE: NATs as firewalls

2007-03-07 02:58:05
is a crisis to force action. That will occur sometime after 
2010 when they need more than they already have and find that 
the lease price per IPv4 address per day has been moving up 
from its current averages of $1/day or $5/day depending on 
contract length (a price service providers seem to have no 
trouble collecting while the addresses are still Free from 
IANA). 

IP Addresses are not property and cannot be leased or sold.
The RIRs do not lease IP addresses, instead they provide
the service of registering IP addresses for a fee which is
directly related to the cost of the service. The number of
addresses provided is not directly a cost factor and the
scarcity of addresses certainly does not impact costs.

Also, even though there are only 3 years supply left in IANA,
to date none of the RIRs have changed their allocation policies
to deal with wind-down of IPv4 space or scarcity. Certainly
in some regions, there is the expectation that IPv6 will fill
the gap since it has been proven with consumer and enterprise
customers for the past year or two.

As the wind-down of the IPv4 address space gets more public
coverage, and more larcenous providers charge exorbitant fees
for free addresses, I expect to see a rising public demand 
for IPv6. Note that this implies that we have less than 2 years 
to get a solid IPv6 SOHO gateway requirements document out.

--Michael Dillon


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