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RE: IAOC requesting input on (potential) meeting cities

2017-04-05 12:52:37
Most of all the homicides in Chicago take place in a few square miles in 
certain areas a little outside the downtown district which is itself relatively 
safe. As Christer says most of those incidents are related to narcotics and the 
associated gang turf wars.

-----Original Message-----
From: ietf [mailto:ietf-bounces(_at_)ietf(_dot_)org] On Behalf Of Christer 
Holmberg
Sent: Wednesday, April 5, 2017 4:11 AM
To: Carsten Bormann <cabo(_at_)tzi(_dot_)org>; mike stJohns 
<mstjohns(_at_)comcast(_dot_)net>
Cc: IETF <ietf(_at_)ietf(_dot_)org>
Subject: Re: IAOC requesting input on (potential) meeting cities

Chicago is a big city, and the murder rate varies widely between different 
areas. So, if you do your maths based on the numbers in the areas where IETFers 
are likely to move around, and the kind of activities IETFers are likely to 
participate in (much of the violence is related to gang/drug-related 
activities), I¹m sure the result is going to be even smallerŠ 





On 05/04/17 08:56, "ietf on behalf of Carsten Bormann"
<ietf-bounces(_at_)ietf(_dot_)org on behalf of cabo(_at_)tzi(_dot_)org> wrote:

On Apr 5, 2017, at 01:06, mike stJohns <mstjohns(_at_)comcast(_dot_)net> wrote:

.005 deaths per week per 1000

Right, the 270 micromorts per year (~ 5 micromorts per week) you cited 
would lead to a ~ 0.5 % chance of anyone of the ~ 1000 IETFers getting 
killed ‹ a factor three less than the 1.5 % that my numbers result in, 
but not off by a large factor.
(Still, I wonder where that factor three comes from.)

Luckily, we hit the other 98.5 % this week.

(I¹m not that worried by the ~ 15 micromorts of risk I personally was 
subjected to, given that I spent on the order of 250 microlives for the 
time that went into this meeting.
But my wife, who had been planning our wonderful vacation in Colombia 
earlier this year, definitely was.)

Grüße, Carsten



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